CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2026-02-25T07:38:00-CME-002)
CME Observed Time: 2026-02-25T07:38ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/44830/-1
CME Note: Faint CME seen only in STEREO A COR2 coronagraph to the E. It is covered by a data gap in SOHO LASCO imagery and is not seen in GOES CCOR-1 imagery. Its source is likely the C2.6 flare peaking at 2026-02-25T06:56Z (S08W27), with an associated minor-size eruption seen in SDO AIA 193/304 as brightening/dimming and post-eruptive arcades. There is also a type II radio emission associated with this event.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-02-28T09:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/44832/1 Model Inputs: 2026-02-25T07:38:00-CME-002 with CME Analysis: Lon.=27.0, Lat.=-7.0, Speed=711.0, HalfAngle=17.0, Time21.5=2026-02-25T11:50Z Model Output: Earth Impact (very cursory glancing blow, possibly overlapping with the arrival of a HSS) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2026-02-28T09:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=2 (kp)180=3 Other Location(s) Impact: OSIRIS-APEX with esitmated shock arrival time 2026-02-27T22:43Z BepiColombo with esitmated shock arrival time 2026-02-26T08:00Z STEREO A with esitmated shock arrival time 2026-02-27T12:00Z Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20260225_115000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gifLead Time: 66.35 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Anna Chulaki (M2M SWAO) on 2026-02-25T14:39Z
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